Don’t worry: History shows Madison Bumgarner will be just fine in his next start

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner throws against the San Diego Padres in the first inning of a baseball game Saturday April 11, 2015, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Lenny Ignelzi)

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Madison Bumgarner throws against the San Diego Padres in the first inning of a baseball game Saturday April 11, 2015, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Lenny Ignelzi)

 

Saturday night was a rough day for Madison Bumgarner.

MadBum got tagged for five runs on eight hits in three innings in the Giants’ 10-2 loss to the Padres.

You can already hear the talking heads and bloggers going on and on about Saturday’s game is an example of how Bumgarner is feeling the effects of last year’s deep playoff run and high number of innings pitched.

But we’ve seen this before.

Bumgarner said afterwards that his mechanics were off, causing all of his pitches to go flat. Even so, the Padres didn’t exactly light him up.

The Padres’ first-inning rally started with a broken-bat, chalk-finder double by Matt Kemp. A couple of seeing-eye singles resulted in a 2-0 lead.

In the third, more seeing-eye singles and soft liners that dropped in front of outfielders led to three more runs. In all, it was Kemp’s double and nine singles.

Not great. But let’s pump the brakes on the something-is-wrong-with-MadBum talk.

We’ll remind you that after two starts, Clayton Kershaw has a 5.84 ERA, which is worse than Bumgarner’s 5.40.

And we’ve seen this before from Bumgarner. This was Bumgarner’s ninth career start in which he allowed more earned runs than innings pitched.

And we’ve seen him bounce back.

In the eight follow-up starts that came after those rough outings, Bumgarner has gone 5-1 with a 1.11 ERA. That includes his start in the 2012 World Series when he followed up his ugly start in Game 1 of the NLCS with a gem in Game 2 of the Series.

In the one loss, Bumgarner gave up two earned runs in eight innings, but lost because the Giants didn’t score any runs.

And all eight of those follow-up starts came at home. Bumgarner’s next start will come Thursday at home against the Diamondbacks.

Here’s the breakdown of those starts:

  • Aug. 25, 2010 (Cin) — 2.2 IP, 7 ER (8 R) 7 H, 1 BB, 3 K
    Next: Aug. 31 (Col) — 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K
  • June 21, 2011 (Min) — 0.1 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 K
    Next: June 26 (Cle) — 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 11 K, win
  • July 30, 2011 (at Cin) — 4 IP, 5 ER (7 R), 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K
    Next: Aug. 4 (Phi) — 8 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K, loss
  • July 4, 2012 (at (Was) — 5 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 7 K
    Next: July 13 (Hou) — 7 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, win
  • Sep. 11, 2012 (at Col) — 4.1 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 2 K,
    Next: Sept. 17 (Col) — 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 6 K, win
  • Oct. 14, 2012 (StL) – 3.2 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K
    Next: Oct. 25 (Det) – 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K, win
  • May 17, 2013 (at Col) — 4.2 IP, 7 ER (9 R) 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K
    Next: May 22 (Was) — 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K
  • July 28, 2014 (Pit) — 4 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K
    Next: 9 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 1 BB, 10 K, win

The combined numbers from Bumgarner’s follow-up starts:

57 IP, 7 ER, 17 BB, 51 K, 5-1

So relax. MadBum will be fine.

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