OK, so we’ll admit we endure Christopher Russo on MLB Network’s High Heat just so we can get our morning live baseball news fix. We don’t particularly like being yelled at by a New Yorker so early in the day (or any time of day for that matter).
But there was an interesting tidbit that came out of Wednesday’s version of High Heat, thanks to an appearance by celebrated baseball writer Peter Gammons.
The topic of discussion was what the Tampa Bay Rays would do with David Price should the team’s fortune continue to deteriorate this season.
Even though the Dodgers always seem to rise to the top of the list as possible suitors for high-profile players, Gammons doesn’t believe Big Blue makes the most sense as a trade partner for Price.
The team he thinks does make sense may surprise you.
“I think the one that might make sense are the Giants,” Gammons said. “They are loaded with pitching at Double-A — Kyle Crick. They have a couple of other really good young pitchers. (Giants GM) Brian Sabean might take the flier and say ‘OK, a year and a half, we might win once, we might make the playoffs twice. Let’s go and let’s go get David Price, even if we can’t pay him with Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum under contract.’ I think that’s the only place that makes sense.”
Gammons said the Dodgers don’t make sense because what he is hearing is that Los Angeles is unwilling to part with its top prospects: OF Joc Pederson, LHP Julio Urias and SS Corey Seager.
The young arms that Gammons was talking about at Double-A for the Giants is topped by Crick, a 21-year-old right-hander who is the Giants’ top prospect and ranked the No. 30 prospect in all of baseball by MLB.com.
Other pitchers at Double-A who rate as the Giants’ top prospects include LHP Adalberto Mejia (age 20), LHP Ty Blach (23), RHP Clayton Blackburn (21), RHP Derek Law (23) and LHP Josh Osich (25).
And that doesn’t even count 21-year-old lefty Edwin Escobar, who was the 56th-ranked prospect in all of baseball according to Baseball America. Escobar is considered the most big league-ready pitcher in the Giants’ farm system. Escobar has rebounded nicely in his last two starts after a bumpy debut for Triple-A Fresno.
Now, Gammons did mention that all of this is predicated on the notion that the Rays will be in a position by June that they even start about thinking of dealing Price. And that’s a big if.
The next question is whether the Giants will be in a position to trade for a big-time arm.
The Giants already have $125 million committed to 12 players for 2015, $84.5 million to six players in 2016 and $71.4 million to four players in 2017. And that doesn’t include arbitration years for Brandon Belt, or what the Giants will do regarding Pablo Sandoval’s contract.
So it would seem the Giants are going back to their plan they put in place in the post-Barry Bonds years in which they build through their young pitching. That plan helped deliver two World Series titles.
Price is making $14 million this year and can expect to make more than $20 million in 2015 through arbitration. Then comes free agency and the really big pay day in 2016.
So if they acquire Price, they can expect their payroll to approach $150 million in 2015 for just 13 players without knowing …
- how much Brandon Belt will make in 2015
- who is going to play third base
- who is going to play left field (Michael Morse is on a one-year deal)
- who will play second base (Marco Scutaro can’t be counted on for anything)
- who will close (Sergio Romo is a free agent in 2015).
We have all the respect for Peter Gammons, and the idea of a 2015 rotation of David Price, Madison Bumgarner, Matt Cain, Tim Hudson and Tim Linecum is worth dreaming about. But when you add up the numbers up, maybe it doesn’t make as much sense after all.